UN must
intervene in territories
Only an Arab-manned UN
force could restore order in the PA
Yossi Ben-Ari
In light of the recent events in Gaza and the ongoing economic crisis
there, it would be a miracle if the massive tensions currently swirling
amongst the Palestinians did not lead to all-out civil war. The
Palestinian "national dialogue" scheduled for this weekend appears to be
little more than an outdated aspirin for a patient desperately in need of
a surgeon's knife. And if the summit does fail, the situation could
potentially get worse.
The international community must stop watching
indifferently from the side, waiting for the Palestinian government to
change its policies vis-à-vis Israel as a condition for re-engaging. Such
re-engagement is crucial now, not only in order to head off the coming
humanitarian crisis, but also in order to shore up the foundations of the
crumbling Palestinian Authority before Lebanonization takes control, and
establishes a no man's land for years to come.
Even if the matter strikes a blow to the
Palestinians' "family pride," they have little choice but to request the
services of an outside "specialist doctor" to treat the patient, given
their desperate circumstances.
Needed:
International force
The wise thing to do would be for all levels of the
PA leadership to issue a joint call to the international community to put
together a civilian-security task force, and to deploy that force on the
ground for a set amount of time (three years, for instance). This force
will be charged with a two-pronged mandate: to restore order, security and
the rule of law, and to rebuild PA institutions, in order to give it a
chance to build an independent state sometime in the future.
In light of the ongoing failure in Iraq, we would do
well this time to refrain from sending in American troops, even in the
(unlikely) event the Americans would even agree to such a move. It would
be better to base such a force on European troops; they are viewed in a
rather more favorable light in the territories, and they will be an
ongoing source of funding for Palestinian rule when the time comes to
renew it.
But a European force of this nature could be seen as
a sort of neo-colonialism; as such, it could inspire tremendous public
resentment.
Calling Egypt, Jordan
Therefore, the best available option would be to
rely on Western help to assist civilian matters of state building, but to
relegate security responsibility for Gaza to Egypt, and for the West Bank
to Jordan.
Strategically, as neighbors of the PA, Egypt and
Jordan have clear interests in being involved in developments there,
especially at a time when the danger of Islamist elements infiltrating
those countries from Palestine has increased dramatically.
Cairo's interest in the goings-on in the territories
is an ongoing reality; therefore, Israel must lean heavily on President
Hosni Mubarak. Sadat's Egypt may have decided a generation ago to
"disengage" from ruling over Gaza, but the bilateral links between them,
which got stronger following the opening of the Rafah crossing, will
apparently continue forever.
And so it is for Jordan: The late King Hussein
renounced his country's claims to the West Bank, but both banks of the
Jordan are rich with social and economic symbolism. A current expression
of this is the return to prominence of the Joradanian dinar and Jordanian
banks in the territories, following the wanton decision of Israeli banks
to disengage, once and for all, from Palestinian banks (we may wonder if
this is really what Israel wants?).
Appropriate
choice
The choice of Egypt and Jordan to build an
international military-police force for the PA is appropriate for several
reasons: All sides share a common language and culture, neighboring
security forces have expert knowledge of the reality on the ground and
know well both the Palestinian security apparatus and civilian population.
In addition, the geographic connection and the lure
of open borders could ease, and reduce the cost of, the process of
rotating, increasing or decreasing forces. The Jordanian army's experience
participating in international peacekeeping forces could contribute as
well.
Given the current reality, this task force should have general and
exclusive jurisdiction on the ground. At the same time, the existing
Palestinian security establishment should be neutralized. This latter
group, together with all government offices, would use this period to
regroup, with an eye on resuming their activities once the international
mandate is over.
UN auspices
Ideally, this force should come under the
jurisdiction of the United Nations, as the most senior international
organization, and one with many years of experience conducting similar
campaigns. That experience should ease the process of administering such a
force, and the move would allow the mission to be labeled a peace keeping
delegation, thus opening the door to UN funding.
Despite the fact that task force would be staffed
with Egyptian and Jordanian soldiers, the practical administration of the
group should be conducted by the Arab League, whose leadership will
naturally be accepted and maybe even push the Saudi initiative for a
final-status agreement and full normalization in the Middle East.
Israel, for its part, must free itself from prior
positions (like the long-standing opposition to foreign forces in Lebanon,
for example) to see the benefits of this proposal, especially in light of
the alternative.
Whilst Israel does have peace agreements with its
neighbors to the south and east, and these countries do help Israel with
regard to the Palestinians, it must use their willingness to help, even if
its freedom of operations in the territories is diminished by such a move.
Brig. Gen. (res.) Dr.
Yossi Ben-Ari was a senior intelligence officer and the co-director of
IPCRI Strategic Affairs Unit