What Should be Done Now Gershon Baskin |
September 25, 2002
What I have
attempted to do is to overcome the present obstacles that are real. I
have also tried to build into the plan elements that were absent during
the Oslo Process – specifically elements for verification, enforcement
and dispute resolution that are not merely dependent on the good will of
the sides – something that does not exist and must be rebuilt.
I have also taken for granted that we need to rebuild constituencies for
peace on both sides. Additionally, I believe that we cannot advance
without the help of third parties.
Strategic Interests of Israel
• Securing a peace treaty with the Palestinians that will guarantee the
long-term security of the State of Israel
• Securing peace treaties with as many as the surrounding Arab countries
as possible
• Strengthening the democratic nature and characteristics of Israel
• Insuring that the State of Palestine will be democratic
• Ending terrorism
• Insuring economic growth and integration into global markets
• Bringing back international investments to the Israeli economy
• Investing in human and physical infrastructures inside of Israel
My Working Assumptions
• No real progress can be made in peacemaking efforts without real
democratic reforms in the Palestinian territories that entail political,
economic and security reforms.
• The Israeli public will not accept any strategic deal with the
Palestinians as long as Arafat is the Palestinian leader.
• There are leaders on the Palestinian side who are interested in ending
the violence and getting back to the negotiating table.
• There is a need for international involvement in negotiating with the
Palestinians and the Arab world.
• There is a need for international presence in a multiplicity of roles
of peace keepers, buffers, observers, and dispute resolvers insuring the
mechanisms for verification, enforcement and dispute resolution.
• Economic development and real economic opportunities are a critical
factor in any peace settlement with the Palestinians.
• Movements towards peace with the Palestinians will create deep rifts
and conflicts within Israeli society.
• Large amounts of money will be required to secure any peace
arrangements including funds for re-settling settlers, and funds for
refugees as well as funds for security needs and requirements.
• The best peace arrangements should be regional and should include the
Palestinians, Syria and Lebanon.
• Egypt and Jordan can be strategic allies in securing peace with the
Palestinians.
• Deep political, social and religious cleavages within Israeli society
need to be addressed through social, political and economic reforms.
These cleavages will deepen as a result of a real peace process and must
be dealt with through inclusive policies and decision making. Recreating
a peace process with the Palestinians and the Arab world will be very
painful for much of the Israeli public and must be undertaken with great
care and attention to the real needs, fears and aspirations of all
sectors of Israeli society. Nonetheless, extremists inside of Israel
must be isolated and denied the right to hold the rest of the country
hostage to their extremism.
Goals of Plan
• The provide a political horizon for ending the violence and getting
back to the negotiating table.
• To facilitate and encourage the processes of security, political and
economic reform in the Palestinian Authority.
• To strengthen the weight of Palestinian leaders who are interested in
democratic reform, ending the violence and getting back to the
negotiating table.
• To isolate the extremists on the Palestinian amongst the Palestinian
people.
• To rebuild a public constituency for peace in Israel and in Palestine.
• To end Palestinian incitement against peace and to see instituted in
Palestinian real peace education.
Actions
The first element of the plan is to issue a declaration of intentions by
the Government of Israel. This declaration must include the following
elements:
1. The State of Israel is interested and willing to move forward towards
real peace with the Palestinians, Syria and Lebanon once the violence
has come to an end.
2. The vision of peace in the eyes of the Government of Israel includes
the creation of a Palestinian state along the lines of the Arab League
(Saudi) Plan including Israeli withdrawal to agreed upon borders,
territorial exchange, a shared capital in Jerusalem and resolution of
the refugee problem within the framework of an international agreement,
with the right of return implemented within the Palestinian state,
compensation and resettlement funds provided by the international
community with the participation of the State of Israel.
3. Peace agreement with Syria on the basis of the negotiations already
held in the past from the point where they ended between PM Barak and
Hafez el Asad.
4. An Israeli willingness and invitation for an international presence
in the territories along with agreed upon mandates led by a US Army
force.
The State of Israel will declare that it will be ready to enter into
negotiations with a responsible newly elected Palestinian leadership
following an Israeli assessment that the Palestinian leadership is
making 100% efforts to end the violence. In order for that to happen,
Israel will immediately withdraw from Areas “A” following which time, in
full coordination with the IDF and with a US led security team,
Palestinian police will deploy within the cities.
The Palestinian police, under a unified command, will disarm all
militia, including Hamas, Jihad and Fatah forces. Captured weapons will
be turned over to the US led command. A US led international force will
serve as inspectors with full rights and responsibility to inspect all
locations within the Palestinian territories for weapons or workshops
and factories for the production of weapons. The international
inspectors will have the right and authority to confiscate illegal
weapons and the means of production of illegal weapons.
A limited Palestinian security force will be armed only with hand guns.
Israel and the US will determine benchmarks for implementation of this
process that will be publicized to the public and reported to Israel and
the Palestinian commander in charge of the force. Once this process has
been completed to the satisfaction of Israel and the US Command, the
Palestinians will conduct new elections for a legislative council, a
President and a Prime Minister who will appoint a new Palestinian
cabinet.
Once the Palestinians have successfully implemented the new security
plan and reforms, involving the confiscation of weapons, and
international inspectors are in place and working, and not earlier than
six months following the satisfactory implementation of the security
plan, Israel will agree to implement further redeployments transferring
in two steps all Areas “B” to full Palestinian control (area “A” status)
and as much contiguous Palestinian territory as possible. The maps will
be presented to the Palestinians within three months from the beginning
of the implementation of the security plan.
Prior to this redeployment, a US led international force will take
positions in the West Bank and Gaza. The foreign troops will not take up
any positions on the Israeli side of the borders. Israel will still have
full responsibility and right to protect its own citizens, in the
settlements as well as inside of Israel.
At this point, Israel will also complete the full disbanding of all of
the “illegal” outposts (105 in number) that have been constructed in the
past 18 months. Israel will also freeze all building in all settlements
including all by-pass roads.
Until a new economic agreement has been negotiated, and after the
implementation of the security and economic reforms, Israel and the
Palestinians will re-implement all of the measures of the Paris economic
protocol, including measures of free trade, secure and free movement of
goods, the re-instatement of up to 60,000 Palestinian laborers in Israel
(after proper security checks by the Israelis), and the transfer of all
Customs and VAT money through the Palestinian treasury with US
supervision of those funds.
Six months after the election of a new Palestinian government,
negotiations will commence for permanent status. These negotiations will
last no longer than one year. Representatives of the US President will
be appointed as mediators and will actively engage in mediation and
problem solving in the negotiations. The negotiations will start based
on the Arab League plan and will include a multi-lateral political
element in which full peace agreements and full normalization will be
negotiated with the Member states of the Arab League. These negotiations
will be supervised by the Quartet (the US, the EU, Russia and the UN
Secretary General). The final conclusion of these multi-lateral
political negotiations will be dependent on the successful conclusion of
the Israeli-Palestinian negotiations.
Additional Elements
• Israel will agree and propose the establishment of a Rapid Response
Force composed of troops from Israel, the US led Multinational Force and
the Palestinian police (which can also be called a national guard but
will be armed with hand gun only). The RRF will be headed by a US
General with a shared command with an Israeli officer with the rank of
Aluf and a senior Palestinian police or national guard commander. This
RRF command will be a single operating unit and located in a single
command center.
• Israel will encourage and facilitate the active involvement of the
heads of the Egyptian and Jordanian intelligence services in the reform
of the Palestinian security, together with the US CIA and other
acceptable intelligence commands.
• Israel and the Palestinians will normalize their relations through the
auspices of a civilian “peace administration” not controlled by the
Israeli military or the Palestinian national guard or police. This
“peace administration” will coordinate the cooperation between Israeli
and Palestinian civilian governmental ministries in areas such as
environmental cooperation, water, agriculture, tourism, economic
development, etc.
• An Israeli-Palestinian-International media watch group will be
appointed to monitor the Israeli and Palestinian media, official and
private, regarding incitement. The media watch will produce monthly
reports as well as periodic reports when findings warrant immediate
action. The agreement of the Palestinians to these “rules of the game”
are a precondition for beginning permanent status negotiations.
• An Israeli-Palestinian and US led international team will be mandated
to present proposals for the tasks that third party military and
civilian forces will play. . Some of these functions will include:
1. Creating a human buffer zone between Israeli and Palestinian forces
2. Supervising Israeli withdrawals
3. Facilitating security cooperation between the sides in the fight
against terrorism
4. Involvement in the control and management of border crossings both
between Israel and Palestine and between Palestine and the outside world
5. Dispute resolution functions – mediation and arbitration of disputes
6. Verification of implementation of agreements
Amongst the specific tasks to be developed include the following:
1. The general roles and tasks of peacekeepers
2. Buffers
3. Issues concerning external Palestinian borders
4. Issues concerning the borders between Israel and Palestine
5. Issues concerning tri-lateral concerns – Israel-Palestine-Jordan,
Israel-Palestine-Egypt
6. On site inspection inside of Palestine
7. Tri-lateral security possibilities (Israel-Palestine-international
forces)
8. Security ops of third parties in Jerusalem
• An office of a kind of political ombudsman would be established within
the Prime Minister’s office to advance public involvement in the peace
process. This office would be equipped to receive and respond to
suggestions of citizens, NGO’s, think-tanks, etc. A mechanism for public
transparency would be added to encourage public debate and thinking
about the most important decisions that State of Israel has to make.
• The Government of Israel will establish in cooperation with the
Palestinian leadership and the EU a secretariat for a public peace
process encouraging civil society cooperation between Israelis,
Palestinians and civil society groups in the Arab world. This
secretariat would have the facilities and budget to launch a significant
public peace process.
* Gershon Baskin is
the founder and co-director of IPCRI, the Israel/Palestine Center for
Research and Information.
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