Congratulations to
the people of Egypt! They have shown the real power of the
people. Their success was, of course, linked to the fact that
their feeling of being disenfranchised and without the ability
to improve their lives was shared by the army. Tahrir Square was
filled with young people who had no job, so their energies and
frustrations were poured into the struggle for freedom, human
rights, economic justice and democracy. They won also because
their cause was just and they clearly held the higher moral
ground.
Everyone is now asking: Where next? We see the beginnings of
uprisings in Algeria, Jordan, Bahrain and Yemen. Our analysts
are busy examining the social, political and military elites of
all the Arab countries to determine whether there is the social
energy to overthrow those dictatorial regimes as well.
The one place they are not looking is in our own backyard – Gaza
and the West Bank. What’s going on there? Palestinians are
struggling with two main issues – how to return the West Bank
and Gaza to one unified regime, and how to end the occupation.
Under the surface, they also want more democracy, but their
first need is to free themselves from Israel.
The current strategy for reaching statehood is a reaction to the
lack of negotiations.
The Israeli narrative on that is that during the 10-month
settlement freeze, the Palestinians procrastinated for nine
months. Then, when the freeze ended, they refused to continue
negotiations unless it was extended.
The Palestinian (and American) version of the story is that even
before the settlement freeze began, they submitted a detailed
position paper, including maps, based on the final round of
negotiations between Ehud Olmert and Mahmoud Abbas. The position
related to Olmert’s offers and indicated a clear willingness to
continue those negotiations.
Throughout the proximity talks, 16 hours of direct negotiations
between Binyamin Netanyahu and Abbas, and all attempts to renew
the negotiations since, Israel has yet to respond to the
American request for a position paper. The Palestinian feeling
is that when they see an indication Israel is serious about
negotiations, it will find a serious partner. Until then, they
are pushing forward with gaining international recognition of
the Palestinian state based on the June 4, 1967 borders.
THE GREAT debate among the officials who are successfully
collecting one recognition after another is how to bridge the
great gap between a virtual Palestinian state (or as Deputy
Foreign Minister Danny Ayalon called it, a Facebook state –
prior to witnessing the power of Facebook in modern revolutions)
and a real one. The strategy builds on the typical Zionist
approach of creating facts on the ground – building a state from
the bottom up – coupled with the international political drive
that will culminate with a UN Security Council resolution
granting Palestine full membership.
The thinking is that once that happens, Israel will be a UN
member state in full occupation of another, and this would be a
game changer. The Palestinians still understand that in the end
there must be a negotiated agreement, but their strategy is
aimed at changing the rules of the negotiations, removing the
issue of statehood and ending the occupation from the
negotiating table, leaving the issue of final borders (which
will be based on June 4, 1967), territorial swaps, Jerusalem and
refugees.
The negotiations will be conducted stateto- state not state to
non-state as they have been throughout the Oslo process.
Even if this strategy plays out, the main question concerns the
reality on the ground. Here Cairo provided the answer.
The Egyptian Facebook, Twitter, SMS and satellite television
revolution, which brought millions into the street, can also
work in Palestine, except that it will not be against the
Palestinian Authority, as some people would like to think, but
against the occupation. If anyone questions the power of
nonviolence, after the past weeks they should seriously
reconsider what “a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens
can do to change the world,” as Margaret Mead used to say.
Yes, in Gaza the people’s revolution will be against the Hamas
despots, but in the West Bank and Gaza as well, their just call
for freedom and liberation will be directed at the occupiers.
And just as the entire world was with those young people in
Tahrir Square and celebrated their victory, so too will the
world be with the Palestinian people in their nonviolent
outpouring for freedom, liberation and democracy.
If the response is violent, the world will look at Israel just
as it looks at Hosni Mubarak today.
When the Palestinians take to the streets, the squares and the
checkpoints in mass nonviolent demonstrations, they will win. We
will eventually sit with them and negotiate final borders, and
we will find a way to share Jerusalem as the capital of two
states, and we will find a common way to address the refugee
issue.
And when it is all over, we will thank young Palestinians for
leading us to our freedom and our liberation, because we Jews,
we Israelis, do not want to occupy another people. We want to
live in peace with all our neighbors. So in the name of Israel,
in the name of Palestine and in the name of peace, I say to the
people of Egypt – thank you!
The writer is co-CEO of the
Israel/Palestine Center for Research and Information
(www.ipcri.org) and is in the process of founding the Center for
Israeli Progress (http://israeli-progress.org).