It is quite amazing
how little we really know about Egypt. Thirty-two years of peace
have not had a deep impact on our awareness, knowledge or even
curiosity about the largest of our Arab neighbors. Of course
every Israeli knows the names Hosni Mubarak and his son Gamal.
Many even knew the name Omar Suleiman before he was recently
appointed vice president, because of his significance in the
security world that so dominates our comprehension of the world.
There is no doubt that Egypt’s policies of keeping the peace
cold and the cultural boycott have not encouraged Israelis to
seek greater knowledge and intimacy with Egyptian society and
culture. It is really a great pity, because had we made the
effort to reach out, we would have a much richer understanding
of the televised revolution of Tahrir Square.
It is also a pity that many of those appearing on our television
screens, alongside the experts on Arab affairs, are the military
analysts who possess an amazingly one-dimensional understanding
of what is going on. Our ability to empathize with the Egyptian
masses rather than to only fear them would be greatly enhanced
if we had the opportunity to learn more about the social,
political and religious dimensions of the Egyptian street and
its various opposition groups.
We would profit greatly by knowing the personalities behind the
uprising. We would be surprised and perhaps even inspired to
know some of the women who have deeply influenced the passion of
this people’s struggle for freedom.
A great example is Ghada Abdel Aal, 32 a single pharmacist,
author of the best-selling I Wanna to Be a Bride and very
popular blog of the same name, who experts claim represents
millions of Egyptian females from 25 to 35 who are pressured by
society to get married.
The social pressures of the patriarchic Egyptian society,
supported by the political and religious establishments and the
rumor mills that surround unmarried girls, especially those
seeking a professional career, have created a lot of the unrest
which has fermented the socioeconomic revolution that we are
witnessing.
Getting married has become prohibitively expensive – prompting
an explosion of mass weddings, with hundreds of couples
simultaneously marrying to cut costs. Surprisingly the Middle
East has one of the lowest marriage rates in the developing
world. Almost 50 percent of men 25 to 29 are unmarried, compared
to 37% a generation ago.
A lot of the blame for this is placed on the political and
religious elites who make the poor poorer and divert the wealth
of the nation to their own pockets.
The economic situation in Egypt makes it almost impossible for
young, educated women to marry out of choice and a lot of their
pent-up frustration is expressed freely on the social networks
of Facebook, Twitter and blogs like Ghada’s and have fueled the
gatherings in Tahrir Square.
THE APRIL 6 movement of young people is the core of the January
revolution. This movement was launched on Facebook in support of
the workers in El-Mahalla el-Kubra, an industrial town, who were
planning to strike on April 6, 2008. By January 2009 this group
had more than 70,000 members, mostly young, mostly educated,
mostly secular and mostly fed up with the lack of freedom and
democracy under Mubarak.
One of their primary targets for debate in Facebook over the
past year has been the planned takeover of the country by Gamal
Mubarak. The November parliamentary elections, with their
obvious falsified results, stirred a lot of anger among these
young people and a resolve to bring about change.
The Al-Ghad (tomorrow) movement which has also helped to fill
Tahrir Square, is a secular, liberal movement started in 2004 by
Ayman Nour, who in the 2005 presidential election was reported
as winning about 12% of the vote. This movement stands for human
rights, constitutional reform, democracy and economic reform.
Along with Al-Ghad, the Kifayeh (enough) movement also came to
life in 2004 in preparation for the 2005 elections. This is
another grassroots movement against the Mubarak regime and
especially against the possible takeover by Gamal Mubarak.
THE MOST organized part of the opposition is of course the
Muslim Brotherhood. We have very shallow knowledge of this
movement, its leaders and its platform. With completely open and
free elections, there is a justified fear that the Muslim
Brotherhood could win a large part of the vote. We can expect it
will participate in the next elections and if surveys and public
opinion research are correct, it will win about 25% of the
parliament.
The current leadership of the Muslim Brotherhood says openly
that Egypt is not Iran. They are not ayatollahs and are not
advocating a Shari’a state. They have no expectation or demand
to be the ruling party and from the voices we hear in the square
and from the spokesmen of the Brotherhood, this seems to be an
authentic reflection.
The Muslim Brotherhood has linked itself for the time being with
the leadership of Mohamed ElBaradei’s National Party for Change.
No doubt this is a strange and curious marriage, but it serves
the interests of both. ElBaradei has no grassroots following and
the Brotherhood wishes to gain legitimacy in the wider Egyptian
public and in the world that the former International Atomic
Energy Agency chief brings.
This marriage of convenience should also dispel immediate fears
regarding the future of Israeli-Egyptian peace. When the
platform of the Muslim Brotherhood last year proposed reopening
the peace agreement, central leaders of the movement such as
Abdel- Moneim Abul-Futuh immediately responded that Egypt must
honor its international commitments and that the peace treaty
was an Egyptian interest.
As far as we know, the Muslim Brotherhood, unlike its Hamas
sister in Gaza, does not have an armed wing and it makes great
efforts to present itself as a legitimate political movement
aimed at working within a democratic system, whose goal is not
to hold democratic elections only once (as the joke in the
Middle East goes).
The popularity of the Muslim Brotherhood certainly comes from
the successful work it has undertaken in real social needs,
poverty, education and also against urfi marriages – a form of
temporary marriage popular in the Shi’ite world that is
essentially a form of prostitution and abuse of women’s rights.
These marriages were supported by some of the religious
establishment, and the Muslim Brotherhood has worked for the
ability for young people to marry legitimately.
In 2002, Egyptian dentist Ala Aswany published a novel focusing
on the deep corruption in Egyptian society. The book immediately
became a best-seller and was also turned into a successful film.
The young activists in the square say that the reality of Egypt
in 2011 as presented in the blog of Ghada Abdel Aal and through
Twitter and Facebook networks makes Aswany’s Yacoubian Building
look almost tame.
The Tahrir Square revolution is not yet over. The drama is still
taking place. The regime of Hosni Mubarak is finished and a new
Egypt is emerging.
There are many reasons to be concerned about what may eventually
develop. The more I learn about the revolution and the
opposition forces, the more encouraged I am that the roots of
real democracy are being planted along the Nile.
The writer is co-CEO of the
Israel/Palestine Center for Research and Information (www.ipcri.org)
and is in the process of founding the Center for Israeli
Progress (http://israeli-progress.org).